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The Fall of Assad: A New Chapter for Syria and a Blow to Russia and Iran

Published December 09, 2024
1 months ago

In a historic development that has the potential to reshape the Middle East's geopolitical landscape, Syrian rebels have seized control of Damascus, ending the iron-fisted rule of President Bashar al-Assad. This momentous event on Sunday marked the culmination of more than 13 years of brutal civil war, witnessing Assad fleeing the capital for an undisclosed location.





The downfall of Assad also represents a significant blow to Syria's key allies, Russia and Iran, who have supported the regime extensively through the years of conflict. Their influence in the region is now heavily undermined with Assad's exit, changing the calculations for regional stability as other conflicts, like the ongoing war in Gaza, continue to unfold.


The Syrian rebel coalition, having taken over, is now focused on transitioning power to a governing body with full executive powers. The rebels celebrated freeing prisoners from Sednaya prison, notorious for the detention of thousands by the Syrian government, as a tangible first step towards justice and reform.


The capital erupted in celebration as thousands of citizens, long suppressed under Assad's rule, gathered in Damascus, applauding the rebels while chanting for freedom. This public display underscores the significant desire among Syrians for a fresh start after decades of oppressive governance.


However, the transition is fraught with uncertainties. As Assad's regime falls, questions about the future political landscape and its inclusivity remain. The involvement of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a former al-Qaeda affiliate and now Syria's most potent rebel group, in the new administrative framework adds complexity. Western nations, previously averse to the Assad regime but equally concerned about Islamist extremism, are cautious in their approach to the new reality on the ground.


HTS leader Abu Mohammed al-Golani has expressed intentions for an orderly transition, aware of the chaotic aftermath seen in other regions like Iraq post-Saddam Hussein's ousting. Rehabilitation and rebuilding efforts are crucial next steps, with the rebels likely seeking to lift international sanctions to kickstart Syria's recovery.


Regional players such as Egypt and the United Arab Emirates, wary of the rise of militant Islamist groups, view the developments with apprehension, emphasizing the broader implications for regional security and the ongoing struggle against extremism.


As Syrians navigate this new chapter, international attention remains fixed on how the country can move toward stability, peace, and eventual democratic governance amidst a landscape scarred by prolonged conflict and competing global interests.


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