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The approach of Ramadan in Tunisia, usually characterized by lively markets and preparation for festive meals, bears a different ambiance this year as the country grapples with an acute economic crisis. Tunisians, known for their vigour in observing the holy month, are facing a challenge that overshadows the Ramadan spirit: economic survival.
The ordinarily bustling markets of Tunis bear witness to the growing hardships, as veteran vegetable merchant Mohamed Doryi observes a decline in customer influx, opting to hide his prices to prevent deterring potential buyers. The once-crowded spaces now reflect an uneasy quiet, signaling a shift in consumer behavior and buying capacity.
Traditionally, Ramadan is a period of spiritual reflection accompanied by communal iftar meals after sunset, positioned as sacred moments that rely on adequate food supplies. However, these customs are strained by a crushing reality – declining purchasing power due to skyrocketing inflation, a recessive economy, and burgeoning unemployment rates.
Fayka, a retiree in Tunis, represents many who feel the pinch. Her pension, once sufficient, now falls short of meeting even basic needs. The necessity of buying food in smaller quantities stands in stark contrast to the usual bulk purchases made in anticipation of Ramadan.
Tunisia's tightrope walk through economic turmoil is pinned on political unrest, as President Kais Saied's assumption of full powers in July 2021 continues to reverberate through the country's stability and growth. A third of Tunisia's population lives below the poverty line, with inflation averaging 10 percent yearly. Simultaneously, the essential food items' prices have escalated drastically, with some witnessing a threefold increase.
The country's GDP growth, a mere 0.4 percent in the past year, struggles under the weight of sequential challenges, including a drought detrimental to agriculture. Moreover, an ascendant unemployment rate, rising from 15.2 to 16.4 percent at the tail end of 2023, exacerbates the public's distress.
Economist Ridha Chkoundali encapsulates the country's situation as "stagflation," marked by stagnating growth and galloping inflation. He critiques the government's prioritization of external debt payments over market stability, leading to insufficient supplies of basic foodstuffs and essential agricultural inputs.
Adding to the fray, Tunisian banks are cornered by the state to finance a national debt equating to 80 percent of the GDP. Such a strategy saps the banks' ability to furnish the private sector with loans, which is vital for economic growth and stability.
Amid these conditions, Tunisians are recalibrating their relationship with consumption. In a butcher's shop in Tunis, a 50-year-old widow exemplifies this reality, procuring a modest cut of veal barely sufficient for a meal, as red meat prices soar beyond the means of average earners.
Butchers like Mustapha Ben Salmane bear witness to this slide into frugality, recording an increase in customers asking for smaller portions, a telltale sign of the economic fatigue sweeping the nation.
The Tunisian people's resilience is being tested as they navigate a strained Ramadan. The festive tables, once laden with generous portions, will likely see a significant downsizing, mirroring a country's fight against economic adversity.