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In a significant escalation of regional tensions, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) fired ballistic missiles targeting what it identified as Israeli "espionage centres" located in Erbil, the capital of Iraq's semi-autonomous Kurdish region. Additional missile strikes were carried out in northern Syria that Iran claims were aimed at ISIL positions.
Early Tuesday, the typically tranquil Erbil was shaken as at least eight explosions resonated across the city. The regional security council confirmed the tragic result of this attack: four individuals lost their lives, while six suffered injuries. The IRGC, through state media, stated the missions' intent was to dismantle espionage infrastructure and disrupt gatherings of groups it deemed anti-Iranian terrorists.
This act of aggression did not go unnoticed by Iraqi authorities. The central government emphatically decrying what they labeled as an attack on their national sovereignty and the safety of their citizens. In retaliation, they are considering a diverse array of responses, which include potentially bringing the matter before the United Nations Security Council for deliberation.
According to reports from Iran's IRNA news agency, the IRGC purported that their strikes demolished a key Mossad headquarters in Erbil. The Iranians justify their military action as a direct reprisal for the recent killing of their officers and allies within the "Axis of Resistance."
However, the Kurdish leadership, including Prime Minister Masrour Barzani, has staunchly condemned these attacks, labeling them crimes against the Kurdish populace. The unexpected assault also led to civilian tragedies, such as the death of Peshraw Dizayee, a prominent Kurdish businessman, along with several of his family members when their home was struck by one of the missiles.
Reactions abroad were swift, with a statement from the US Department of State characterizing the missile strikes as "reckless" and reinforcing the US support for both the Government of Iraq and the Kurdistan Regional Government. Despite these attacks, two US officials reassured that no American facilities were affected, nor were there any US casualties.
The fear of a larger conflict looms over the region, particularly with the ongoing military offensives by Israel in the Gaza Strip, which have hitherto resulted in a significant Palestinian death toll. In an attempt to quell tensions, comments from experts like Sina Azodi of George Washington University suggest that while the missile strikes are notable, they should not be interpreted as a herald of a new regional conflict.
Iran’s missile attacks in Syria were described as retaliatory action against "perpetrators of terrorist operations" following the deadly twin bombings in Kerman, Iran. These bombings, claimed by ISIL, left close to 100 dead earlier this month. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights noted that missile impacts were identified in the vicinity of Aleppo.
While the actions have been perceived by some as a direct response to provocations and as an effort to safeguard Iranian assets and allies in the region, concerns remain about the potential for missteps leading to a broader conflict. With international attention tuned to these developments, further diplomatic efforts will be essential to prevent an inadvertent slide into a larger confrontation.