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Amid the tense atmosphere in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), a palpable sense of foreboding looms over the region. A newly formed coalition that includes the notorious M23 rebels, known as the Alliance Fleuve Congo (AFC), has issued a staunch warning to the Southern African Development Community (SADC) intervention force. This force, comprising South African, Tanzanian, and Malawian troops, arrived on December 15th with a mandate to stabilize the region, which has long been plagued by relentless violence and conflict.
The glare of international attention focuses on the eastern territories of the DRC, a region scarred by incessant warfare among countless armed factions. The SADC Mission in DRC (SAMIDRC), a concerted effort to curtail this unbridled violence, has identified the M23 rebels as their primary target as they have significantly expanded their control since 2021.
Allegations against Rwanda supporting the largely ethnic-Tutsi M23 have been confirmed by a UN group of experts, despite Rwanda's denials. SADC’s intervention is a direct response to DRC President Felix Tshisekedi’s call for assistance following his re-election, as the DRC is an integral part of the SADC.
However, the AFC, under the leadership of Corneille Nangaa, a former head of the DRC’s national electoral commission, is adamant in its resistance. The alliance was formed on the very day SADC troops deployed, and it claims to strive towards order restoration in the DRC, criticizing President Tshisekedi's alleged failure in this regard.
In a potent statement, conveyed on Tuesday, the AFC challenged the SADC troops' allegiance to Tshisekedi, following the recent elections on December 20, 2023, where they claim the Congolese people clearly renounced him. The AFC expressed disdain for Tshisekedi’s leadership and deemed his dismissal of the East African Community (EAC) peacekeeping forces last month as arbitrary, with the inference that SADC should be cautious in whom they support.
Intriguingly, while the AFC acknowledges South Africa's historical role in fostering stability and peace in the DRC, they simultaneously imply a capacity and readiness to engage in conflict to achieve what they describe as "democratic renewal." They proclaim an intricate understanding of the local geography and combat experience, suggesting any SADC forces will encounter a formidable opponent in the AFC troops.
Adding to the complexity is the impending withdrawal of the UN peacekeeping mission, Monusco, which has played an integral stabilizing role since the country's first political transition in 2004. The AFC assures SADC of their awareness and determination, signaling an open challenge to the Tshisekedi regime and positioning themselves as the ultimate arbiters of Congolese democracy.
In the thick of these developments, questions about the efficacy and long-term impact of SADC's intervention loom large. The AFC's bold statements underscore the arduous path towards peace and stability in this resource-rich, yet profoundly troubled, part of Africa. All eyes will be watching to see if SAMIDRC can navigate these complicated dynamics to usher in a era of lasting peace or if the DRC is on the brink of another bloody chapter in its tumultuous history.