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Amidst the protracted conflict in Ukraine and growing tensions with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), Russian President Vladimir Putin has issued a decree to substantially enlarge the Russian military by 170,000 troops. The move, which took immediate effect following its announcement by the Kremlin, expands Russia’s armed forces capacity to 1.32 million service personnel and increases the overall number of Russian military staff to approximately 2.2 million.
The decision comes as the clash between Russian forces and Ukraine enters its 22nd month, a period characterized by intense fighting and substantial international ramifications. According to a statement from the Russian Ministry of Defense, this augmentation of military strength is necessitated by an array of perceived threats. The "special military operation" – the term Russia uses to describe its invasion of Ukraine – coupled with the ostensible growth and fostering of military infrastructure by NATO near Russia's borders, are key factors influencing this military strategy. The Ministry emphasized that the increase is to be achieved mainly through the enlistment of volunteers rather than through heightened conscription efforts.
Significant among the discussions around this expansion is the commentary from former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, presently the deputy chairman of Russia's Security Council. Medvedev indicated an enthusiastic recruitment drive over the year with over 452,000 individuals contracted since the beginning of the year until December.
NATO's fortification of forces surrounding Russia and the perceived upscaling of the alliance's tactical nuclear capabilities were also cited as influential in Russia's strategic response. This military reinforcement echoes the Russian government’s sentiments about the "aggressive activities" of the NATO bloc and mirrors previous expansions. In 2022, a similar order from President Putin introduced an additional 137,000 troops to the Russian armed forces.
Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu had previously voiced the need for a military force totaling 1.5 million to adequately ascertain national security, a figure the ministry has not yet confirmed when it will be achieved. The Kremlin, which had previously appraised the size of its military forces as adequate, adjusted perspectives as the anticipated swift triumph over Ukraine faltered against the backdrop of staunch Ukrainian resistance.
Various initiatives have been taken by Russia to bolster its military might throughout the ongoing conflict. These endeavors include the drafting of conscripts, mobilizing reservists, forming volunteer battalions, conducting campaigns to motivate enlistment, and in some reported instances, negotiating prisoner amnesties for service.
Despite these developments, Russian policy maintains that all men between the ages of 18 to 27 – and starting in 2024, up to age 30 – are expected to fulfill a year of military service, although draft evasion is commonplace due to health exemptions or deferments for higher education.
It is evident that Russia's latest move to reinforce its military capacity underscores the gravity of the geopolitical chess game unfolding in Eastern Europe, with the Ukraine war acting as the nexus for these heightened military endeavors.